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FSU football: Why eight wins should be expectation in 2022

By Kelvin Hunt

Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell applauds after his team makes a field goal. The Louisville Cardinals defeated the Florida State Seminoles 31-23 at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 25, 2021.Fsu V Louisville Football1055
Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell applauds after his team makes a field goal. The Louisville Cardinals defeated the Florida State Seminoles 31-23 at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 25, 2021.Fsu V Louisville Football1055 /
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Advanced Metrics

I like to look at advanced metrics since they give you a more realistic snapshot of the level of play regarding different areas of a team. ESPN’s FPI metric projects 7.1 wins and 84.5 percent chance of winning six games.

I think it’s safe to say the defense was the team strength last year overall. The Noles’ defense ranked No. 43 according to BCF Toys, and there are only three teams on the 2022 schedule that ranked higher.

The Noles’ offense ranked No. 45, which includes the plays when Jordan Travis wasn’t on the field. I think it’s safe to assume the offense would have been better had he been available for all 12 games. Despite that, only three teams on the 2022 schedule ranked higher.

The third phase is special teams, which was by far the worst unit on the field for the Noles. Almost all of the teams on the 2022 schedule fared better.

There’s no way FSU special teams can repeat last year’s effort, right? They have added talent at punt returner in Mycah Pittman and could simply kick balls into the end zone on kickoffs and improve field position.

FSU returns several starters on both sides of the ball, so there’s no reason not to expect improvement over last year unless the injury bug strikes again.

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