FSU football: 2024 Game-by-game predictions and win shares

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North Alabama v Florida State
North Alabama v Florida State / Don Juan Moore/GettyImages
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Vs. North Carolina on November 2nd

This game against North Carolina has the potential to be a letdown game for the Noles after an emotional game against Miami. However, it'll be in front of the home crowd, and North Carolina has a lot of new faces on their roster and a new defensive coordinator in former Georgia Tech head coach Geoff Collins. They return one of the better running backs in the ACC in Omarion Hampton. North Carolina was the No. 40 team via FEI last year.

They had the No. 13 offense and the No. 74 defense. They couldn't win 10 games with a first-round NFL quarterback and NFL talent at receiver. Collins is probably an upgrade over Gene Chizik, but North Carolina doesn't have the talent to match up with the Noles in the trenches. FSU will need to stop the run and force North Carolina to win through the air, and they won't be able to do it. FSU should win this one somewhere around 34-20 with an 80% chance to win.