FSU football fans survived the disastrous 2024 season. The team was in the preseason top 10 and projected to win 9.5 games by oddsmakers last year.
However, the season was a disaster, finishing with an abysmal 2-10 record that fell well below expectations. The Noles signed the No. 19 recruiting class nationally and added several experienced players from the transfer portal.
I joke that oddsmakers didn't know what to make of the 2025 FSU football team a few weeks back because they didn't post their projected win/loss totals when they released them for Clemson, Miami, North Carolina, and others.
I projected they would have FSU at 7.5, and that's exactly where FanDuel has them in their projected win totals released recently.
The number is juiced slightly towards the under at -118, with the over at -104. That means if you bet $104 for FSU to win eight or more games, and they did, you'd win $100. If you took the under and bet $118, and they only won seven, you'd win $100.
Win Total For Other ACC Notables:
- Clemson: 9.5
- Miami: 8.5
- Louisville: 8.5
- North Carolina: 7.5
- NC State: 6.5
- Virginia Tech: 6.5
- Syracuse: 5.5
- Pittsburgh: 5.5
- Virginia: 5.5
- Stanford: 3.5
FSU plays all of these teams except Louisville, North Carolina, and Syracuse. The win totals for these teams tell me Vegas doesn't expect any of them to be elite. If FSU has good injury luck and plays anywhere near the potential on the roster, they should handle Pittsburgh, Stanford, Virginia, and Virginia Tech.
FSU plays Wake Forest, Kent State, and East Texas A&M. Those should be wins and puts FSU at seven. That means they'd have to beat NC State to reach eight and hit the over on the bet.
The schedule gets tougher with road games in three of the final four. Some might think I'm crazy after a 2-10 season, but FSU should win at least eight games in 2025. If not, FSU has some real problems because most of these teams don't have the talent the Noles have.