FSU football: Best and worst case scenarios for 2024 schedule

Should be another great year!
Florida State Spring Football Garnet and Gold Spring Showcase Game
Florida State Spring Football Garnet and Gold Spring Showcase Game / Don Juan Moore/GettyImages
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Worst Case

These are the games where FSU will be an underdog or potential underdog depending on how the first few games shake out:

  • Notre Dame
  • Clemson
  • Miami

These are the games where FSU will be sizable betting favorites(10+ points):

  • Georgia Tech
  • Boston College
  • Duke
  • California
  • Charleston Southern
  • Florida(counting on UF imploding and Billy Napier getting fired)

These are the games where it’ll likely be a toss-up or less than a -9.5 betting spread:

  • North Carolina
  • SMU
  • Memphis

The worst-case scenario is the Noles lose the opener against Georgia Tech and their first true road test against SMU. That would put FSU at 3-2 going into the Clemson game. A loss against Clemson would all but eliminate them from a shot at playing for the ACC title. FSU would beat Duke and then go on the road and play Miami. A loss there would have FSU staring at 4-4 going into a game against North Carolina. A win there puts FSU at 5-4, but a loss on the road against Notre Dame puts FSU at 5-5 with games remaining against Charleston Southern and Florida. I expect FSU to win both of those games, but a loss against the latter would have FSU finishing at 6-6, barely making a bowl game with losses to both in-state rivals. Talk about a turn of events!