FSU football: Top 5 reasons Noles will defeat Duke Blue Devils Friday night

All about the matchup
Duke v Georgia Tech
Duke v Georgia Tech / Kevin C. Cox/GettyImages
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Duke's Weak Schedule

Duke has a better record, but they have played a considerably easier schedule than FSU. They have only beaten two teams from major conferences, and two wins were by a combined seven points. Northwestern ranks worse offensively than FSU, and North Carolina has only beaten one team from a major conference.

When we go to FEI advanced metrics to view a team's strength of schedule, there are three different metrics. Here's where Duke ranks in all three for SOS:

  • No. 119
  • No. 103
  • No. 96

Here's where FSU ranks in the same metrics:

  • No. 37
  • No. 13
  • No. 3

If the two teams traded schedules, there's a good chance their records would flip like these SOS metrics. Although the record doesn't reflect it, FSU still has more overall talent, which gives them a little more margin of error in a close game.