FSU football: Predicting final six games of 2024 regular season

Clemson v Florida State
Clemson v Florida State / Don Juan Moore/GettyImages
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Duke Blue Devils

I had FSU with an 85 percent chance to win this game before the season started. Duke started the season scorching hot, winning their first five games before losing to Georgia Tech last week before their bye week. Duke hasn't beaten anyone good, and two of their five wins are against non-Power 4 teams.

They rank No. 62 overall, just one spot ahead of FSU in FEI advanced metrics. The Blue Devils have the No. 90 offense, No. 33 defense, and the No. 62 special teams unit.

They don't have a mobile quarterback, which has been the FSU defense's kryptonite. I like FSU's defense to limit the Blue Devils offensively, but like most games in the first half, the FSU defense has to show up. If Brock Glenn plays as he did against Clemson, FSU will win this game handily.