FSU faces Oregon State in Supers, Beavers very similar to Mississippi State

FSU built for it.
Jun 1, 2025; Corvallis, OR, USA; Oregon St. outfielder Gavin Turley (1) smiles with a first base coach after hitting an RBI single in the ninth inning against Saint Mary's at the NCAA Corvallis Regional at Goss Stadium. Turley broke the team record for RBI’s on the play. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images
Jun 1, 2025; Corvallis, OR, USA; Oregon St. outfielder Gavin Turley (1) smiles with a first base coach after hitting an RBI single in the ninth inning against Saint Mary's at the NCAA Corvallis Regional at Goss Stadium. Turley broke the team record for RBI’s on the play. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images | Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images

FSU baseball (41-14) learned they will travel to face the Oregon State Beavers (45-13-1 in the Super Regionals after the Beavers defeated USC for the second consecutive night to advance.

It will be the first time the two teams have ever played, and FSU's late-season experience playing the California Bears could pay dividends since it will be a similar experience traveling to the West Coast.

Ironically, Oregon State is very similar to the team FSU just swept in the Tallahassee Regionals, Mississippi State.

The Bulldogs played a tougher overall schedule (No. 20) but didn't quite have the success Oregon State (No. 40) had against better competition. Oregon State went 10-11 against Quad 1 and (13-0-1) against Quad 2 teams. FSU played the No. 24 toughest schedule and went 13-10 against Quad 1 and 6-3 against Quad 2 teams.

The Bulldogs were (10-19) against Quad 1 and (3-3) against Quad 2 teams. These numbers include the regional games.

Here's a look at how similar the numbers are for both teams:

Oregon State

Mississippi State

Batting Average-.292

Batting Average-.304

HR-98

HR-103

Slugging %-.508

Slugging %-.530

On-Base %-.411

On-Base %-.401

Strikeouts-498 (25% of AB's)

Strikeouts-494(25% of AB's)

ERA-4.24

ERA-4.44

Strikeouts-608 in 519.2 innings

Strikeouts-653 in 496.2 innings

Walks-245

Walks-214

Opposing Batting Avg.-.229

Opposing Batting Avg-227

Fielding %-.982

Fielding %-.972

Ironically, Mississippi State has a slight edge in most of these categories, but the biggest difference is on defense. Both offenses depend on the home run to generate runs and are not major threats to steal bases(Oregon State has fewer steals than Mississippi State).

Mississippi State pitchers had a higher strikeout rate, betting opposing batting average, and likely faced better offenses overall than the Beavers. They faced better pitching overall, as well.

The best win Oregon State has was a 7-1 road win against UCLA (No. 10 RPI overall) in mid-April. They lost four games against the Oregon Ducks (No. 21 RPI overall) and lost two of three against Nebraska (No. 55 RPI overall) in late March. The USC team they beat twice in a row ranks No. 39 overall in RPI, and FSU ranks No. 9.

If FSU were playing in Tallahassee, they'd be clear-betting favorites over Oregon State, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them as favorites on the road in Corvallis. All FSU has to do is not beat FSU. They have performed well on the road this year (12-6) and have the starting pitching and offense to take care of business to reach the College World Series for the second consecutive season.