The odds of FSU baseball (41-14) winning that elusive national title have never been better after sweeping through its regional to advance to the Super Regionals, where the Noles will travel to take No. 8 seed Oregon State.
The Noles started the season around +1700 to win the national title, according to FanDuel. Those odds dropped like a rock once the NCAA Tournament bids went out, with FSU moving to +2900. I'm not sure why, considering they had a favorable draw in their regional.
The latest odds have FSU improving those odds to +1300, the seventh-best odds among the teams left in the Super Regionals.
Their Super-Regional opponent, Oregon State, has +1200 odds to win the national title.
The Super Regional schedule is set!
— FSU Baseball (@FSUBaseball) June 3, 2025
Florida State and Oregon State will meet in Corvallis from June 6-9 on ESPN2.#RoadToOmaha pic.twitter.com/PH0NCjnPng
I broke down how Oregon State is eerily similar to the same Mississippi State team FSU swept in regional play here. FSU nearly having the same odds to win the national title as Oregon State, although they have to travel across the country to play tells me oddsmakers believe FSU is the better team.
FSU played the more difficult schedule and is the better offensive team. FSU has a better trio of starting pitchers and has faced better offenses overall than Oregon State.
If FSU advances to the College World Series, they'll play the winner of the Miami/Louisville series. FSU took two of three against Miami and lost two of three on the road against Louisville. If they entered the winner's bracket, they would have as good of a shot to win it all as anyone for my money.
If you bet $100 on FSU, the return is $1,300 at +1300 odds. They only need to win a handful more games. These odds will become less of a long shot with each subsequent win, especially if a team like North Carolina doesn't advance past the Super Regionals, there's still great value right now.