FSU football: 3 keys to covering the spread against Virginia Tech

Convert Third Down On Offense

FSU’s offensive issues stem from not finding success on early downs and relying on converting third and long consistently. FSU is converting third downs 38 percent of the time, but that can be much higher if they find success on first and second downs to make third downs more manageable.

FSU has had 48 third downs through four games, and 25 have been third and 7+, converting seven. The Noles converted third downs at a 51 percent third-down conversion rate last year. They were much better at establishing the run and using the middle of the field with tight ends and slot receivers.

I think that’s something we’ll see FSU get back to coming out of the bye week. Jordan Travis taking the underneath routes in the passing game will open up the running game, and likely create more efficient drives instead of shot plays with Johnny Wilson and Keon Coleman.

FSU will still take those one-on-one opportunities, but I’d like to see them move the ball to at least midfield so they can incorporate four downs if they want.

Either way, FSU must limit the empty possessions, especially when the defense does its job and forces a punt. If they do that, they should score 40+.