Using The 2022 Season to Project 2023
Last season we saw Jordan Travis’ pass attempts increase from 19 per game in 2021 to 27 per game, and his rushing attempts decreasing from 13 to six attempts. He averaged 242 yards through the air and 32 yards on the ground.
Here’s where we revisit the Lamar Jackson progression comparison. I stated two years ago the biggest difference between the two was Jackson’s availability, and Bobby Petrino putting the entire offense on his shoulders.
Jackson averaged 31.5 pass attempts and 20 rushing attempts per game in his Heisman season. However, he only completed 56 percent of his pass attempts, whereas Jordan Travis has completed about 64 percent over the past two years.
I still don’t expect Jordan Travis to average 20 rushing attempts per game, and he won’t have to because he completes a higher percentage of his passes than Jackson and averages more yards per attempt (9.1. vs. 8.7).
What if we project Jordan Travis to throw the ball on average 32 times in 2022, completing 64 percent? That projects to 3,785 passing yards over 13 games. Jordan Travis has added some bulk, and maybe the coaching staff feels more comfortable using his legs since he’s gotten smarter about getting down without taking big hits?
Let’s project him to average 10 rushes per game for five yards per rush(his average last season). That projects to 650 rushing yards over 13 games. Statistically, it would be the best season by an FSU football quarterback since Jameis Winston in the 2013 national championship season.