One of the biggest reasons is it will be the first game with entirely new coaching staff for the LSU Tigers. They still don’t know who their quarterback is, and questions remain on the offensive line and at tight end.
The latter is usually a big part of what Brian Kelly likes to do on offense. I think catching the Tigers early in the season likely favors FSU, who will have a great deal of continuity from last season.
It’s also the third consecutive year Mike Norvell will face off against Brian Kelly, so there’s some familiarity there too.
LSU’s defense has question marks, particularly in the secondary, with only two players returning with starting experience. However, they could have several guys from the transfer portal in starting roles.
We saw from experience that it takes some time for those transfers to get acclimated to things, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them struggle early in the season before finding some things that work as the season progresses.
LSU is a slight favorite in this neutral site game, and all of the variables are a great recipe for an upset if I’ve ever seen one.