FSU football has more talent on their roster than most of the teams they’ll face this season.
Yet, the expectation is the Noles will win between 6-7 games among oddsmakers. One reason that’s the expectation is the question mark at the quarterback position.
If you told oddsmakers you’d get Jordan Travis for 12 games? They’d likely increase FSU’s win total to 7.5 wins.
If we knew Jordan Travis would throw for 2,500 yards and rush for another 500 yards coupled with the defense ranking top 30?
There are likely five games where I’d put FSU at a 65% chance of winning or higher. There are likely four more toss-up games. Good QB play is the difference between going 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, or 4-0 in those games.
We’ve seen it too many times. If Dabo Swinney starts Deshaun Watson against FSU in 2014(with Jameis Winston suspended), Clemson wins that game. Jordan Travis plays the entire game against Jacksonville State in 2021? FSU wins that game.
Jordan Travis throwing three interceptions in the opener against Notre Dame, which resulted in 21 points allowed, is a huge reason the Noles lost that game.
However, improved QB play for the Noles is likely the difference in winning 8+ games or not. FSU football winning 8+ games in 2022 would be a game-changer.