Calculating FSU football wins needed for College Football Playoff at-large bid

Florida State Spring Football Garnet and Gold Spring Showcase Game
Florida State Spring Football Garnet and Gold Spring Showcase Game / Don Juan Moore/GettyImages
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2024 FSU Schedule

  • Georgia Tech (neutral game) Win -13
  • Boston College (Home) Win -21
  • Memphis (Home) Win
  • California (Home) Win
  • SMU (Away) Win -8
  • Clemson (Home) Loss -4
  • Duke (Away) Win -14
  • Miami (Away) Win -1.5
  • North Carolina (Home) Win
  • Notre Dame (Away) Loss +3.5
  • Charleston Southern (Home) Win
  • Florida (Home) Win -13.5

Most oddsmakers have the Noles as betting favorites in all of their games except the away game at Notre Dame. Some of the games don't have odds listed, but FSU will be betting favorites in those games. That doesn't mean FSU will win those games, but it's a solid sign. The closest game odds will likely be Clemson, Miami, and Notre Dame. Let's say FSU loses to Notre Dame, but splits between Miami and Clemson. That would give FSU a 10-2 record.