FSU football vs. Louisville: Best bets for week three

If you’re a college football bettor and took FSU football against the spread or straight up in their first two games, you made some money.

The Noles covered the spread against Duquesne(if you got the early lines) and won outright as an underdog against LSU in week two.

Week three sees the Noles traveling to Louisville as slight betting favorites. The Noles were around -1.5 Sunday, with that number climbing to -2.5 Wednesday.

The over/under has gone from 54.5 to 57.5 over the last couple of days. Those odds imply an FSU win of 30-27. Let’s look at some of our best bets for the game.

Best FSU football Bets Week 3

• Jordan Travis UNDER 230.5 yards pass (-114)
• Treshaun Ward to score a touchdown (-125)
• FSU to win by 14+ (+370)

Best Louisville football Bets Week 3

• Tiyon Evans UNDER 77.5 rushing yards (-114)
• Ahmari Huggins-Bruce OVER 47.5 receiving yards (-114)

Thoughts

I think FSU will emphasize running the ball against Louisville’s defense. The Noles had over 200 yards rushing last season against the Cardinals with virtually no passing attack. Jordan Travis threw for 260 yards on 33 attempts against LSU, and there were some receiver drops, but wouldn’t expect him to have that many attempts in this game.

Treshaun Ward has been the guy for the Noles around the goal line. It’s why he was in the game against LSU when he fumbled at the goal line. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him get a rushing TD or catch a pass for one.

This game can be tricky, but I’d trust FSU to blow out Louisville before the other. FSU has the better defense and hasn’t turned the ball over as much as Louisville.

Louisville has gotten behind early in both games, and I don’t think that’s where they want to be against this FSU team. There’s some value in +370 with FSU winning by two touchdowns or more.

I don’t expect Louisville to run the ball well from a traditional standpoint. Most of their rushing yards will likely come from their QB, so I like the under on their running back rushing total. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Louisville throwing the ball on early downs, not to mention if they get behind. The one weakness on the defense so far has been in the secondary, so I think the over 47.5 receiving yards carries value for Huggins-Bruce.