FSU football: Why the bell curve for ‘Noles recruiting has changed

Nov 27, 2021; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell against the Florida Gators during the second half at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 27, 2021; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell against the Florida Gators during the second half at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports /
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In this video, we’ll refer to high performers as four and five-star players. Three-star players, we’ll refer to as average performers, and of course, we don’t want any below-average players in recruiting.

I have worked in college admissions for the last 19 years, and this is a concept we use that I want to relate to recruiting. In college enrollment, a university or college has prospective students they can’t get to enroll no matter how hard they recruit them.

They also have prospective students they don’t have to recruit because they will enroll at that institution no matter what. Where they want to spend most of their time is that range of students they can realistically enroll, if they recruit them consistently.

The prestige of the university or college will impact the bell curve with these students. The higher their prestige and reputation, the higher the likelihood of enrolling the top students in the nation or a higher-quality student, in general(four and five-stars).

FSU football had that prestige and reputation when they were winning 10+ games and in the mix for championships.

However, the last years have diminished that somewhat, so the prestige and reputation isn’t quite the same, resulting in less high-quality players wanting to enroll(play at FSU).