FSU Football: Why you should bet the over on Noles winning 7 games

TALLAHASSEE, FL - OCTOBER 7: Florida State Seminoles fans cheer during the first half of an NCAA football game against the Miami Hurricanes at Doak S. Campbell Stadium on October 7, 2017 in Tallahassee, Florida. (Photo by Butch Dill/Getty Images)
TALLAHASSEE, FL - OCTOBER 7: Florida State Seminoles fans cheer during the first half of an NCAA football game against the Miami Hurricanes at Doak S. Campbell Stadium on October 7, 2017 in Tallahassee, Florida. (Photo by Butch Dill/Getty Images) /
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Lots of win projections for FSU football are being released for 2019. Here’s why you should bet on them winning more than seven games.

FSU football is projected to win seven games by the Fanduel Sportsbook as of Wednesday. That’s right, if you place a bet on that total and the Noles win eight games you’re a winner.

The good news is if they win seven games you’d push and NOT lose any money. Frankly, I was surprised the line was -7.5.

That would mean FSU would have to win eight games for you to win and anything less than that would be a losing bet.

Now, these types of bets do have a higher risk because you’re blindly betting essentially. It doesn’t account for injuries to key players or anything.

Florida State Seminoles Football
Florida State Seminoles Football /

Florida State Seminoles Football

If you lose your QB or something like that, there’s a good chance your bet is dead in the water because you have to place the bet BEFORE the season.

Nevertheless, I believe taking the gamble on FSU football winning over eight games is worth it. Without getting into too much technical jargon, here’s some quick off the top win percentages:

  • Boise 60 percent
  • ULM 95 percent
  • UVA  51 percent
  • Louisville 80 percent
  • NC St 60 percent
  • Clemson 5 percent
  • Wake 80 percent
  • Syracuse 55 percent
  • Miami 51 percent
  • BC 70 percent
  • Alabama St. 100 percent
  • UF 40 percent

That gives FSU football seven wins by a comfortable margin and two games that are likely losses for sure.

This leaves the Virginia, Syracuse and Miami games as toss ups with the Noles needing to win just one to reach eight wins. I think they win at least one of those games and if everything bounces just right take two of three.

The good news is the Syracuse, Miami and Boston College games are all in Doak Campbell Stadium.

Next. Ranking 5 Toughest Games For Noles In 2019. dark

I think the probability of the Noles going 8-4 are better than them going 6-6 with this schedule.