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FSU's Selection Sunday Prognosis

At 6 pm tonight, the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee will announce the 68 teams that will vie for the college basketball championship. As is the case every year, a number of borderline teams occupy a tourney “bubble,” and this year that bubble includes the Florida State Seminoles.

The ‘Noles finished the regular season at 19-13 and 9-9 in the ACC, which was not as powerful as usual. They wound up in a three-way tie for seventh with NC State and Maryland, two teams unlikely to be included in the tourney field. After edging the Terps in their first conference tournament game,  FSU lost a 64-51 contest to the top-seeded Virginia Cavaliers.

While the Seminoles’ computer numbers would improve slightly with wins by Florida and VCU in their respective conference championship games today, it just doesn’t seem like Florida State has enough impressive wins to make the field. Although they defeated the aforementioned VCU, as well as UMass, they really didn’t topple anyone prominent in conference play, save a road win against a struggling Pittsburgh team. Their loss in the ACC/Big Ten challenge hurts, as it came at the hands of fellow bubble team Minnesota, as do the close games they dropped to Michigan and UF– a win in either of those contests would have the ‘Noles dancing. ChopChat’s projection is that the committee relegates FSU to the unenviable “First Four Out” list, and that they’re a No. 1 seed in the less-prestigious NIT. This would, of course, present the possibility for a maximum of three more games to be played at the Tucker Center in Tallahassee.

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